Tesla Q4 Earnings Preview: Catalyst for Growth or Reality Check?

Key Financial Metrics

* Revenue: $27.21 billion (estimated, up 8.1% YoY)
* Adjusted EPS: $0.75 (estimated, translating to $2.67 billion adjusted net income)

Deliveries and Production Update

* Delivered 495,930 vehicles globally in Q4, missing estimates of 510,400
* Delivered 1.78 million vehicles in 2024, below the 1.8 million analyst estimate and the 1.8 million delivered in 2023

Outlook and Analyst Expectations

* Investors eager for updates on the timeline for new vehicle launches
* Analyst Dan Ives expects a $1 trillion opportunity for Tesla's AI and autonomous initiatives under a Trump presidency
* Ron Jewsikow of Guggenheim Securities warns of regulatory challenges for Tesla's robotaxi and self-driving ambitions

Executive Impact

* CEO Elon Musk's close ties to President Trump initially boosted Tesla stock
* Analyst concerns emerge over the Trump administration's potential negative impact on EV sales

Product Updates

* Launch of an updated Model Y in the US and Europe
* Cybertruck facing demand challenges, with discounts offered on inventory
* Furloughs of Cybertruck line workers at Giga Austin factory

Conclusion

Tesla's Q4 earnings report will provide insights into the company's financial performance, delivery challenges, and the impact of recent political developments. Investors eagerly await updates on new vehicle plans and the long-term outlook for the company's growth.