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US Stocks Edge Higher Ahead of Trump's Inauguration; Dollar Weakens, Bitcoin Surges

European stocks rise, dollar weakens ahead of Trump inauguration. Bitcoin surges. Key events this week include World Economic Forum in Davos, Trump sworn in, and Japan rate decision.

EM Bond Sales at Risk of Slumping as Treasury Rates Weigh

Record bond sales by emerging markets in the beginning of the year are in jeopardy from high Treasury rates that hinder weaker credits from accessing international capital.

China's 2024 Crude Imports: Russia Rises, Saudi Arabia Drops

China's crude oil imports in 2024: Imports from Russia rose 1% while those from Saudi Arabia dropped 9%.

How High Will Trump Go on Tariffs in His Second Term?

How high will Trump go with tariffs? Investors speculate on the potential costs and risks of the president's trade agenda.

Trump's Debt Trap

Trump's presidency coincides with a surge in national debt, from $20 trillion in 2017 to an anticipated $36 trillion in 2021. While refinancing or bankruptcy are not options, rising interest rates could signal market concerns about excessive borrowing. This could worsen the government's fiscal woes, potentially affecting borrowing limits, credit ratings, and legislation related to national debt.

What Common Market Assumptions Are Wrong?

A common statistical correlation analysis fails to predict market performance. Despite high correlation between strategists' forecasts and market returns, strategists' optimism fails to indicate market returns. High market concentration and a strengthening dollar have no significant impact on returns. The timing of the first Fed rate cut and the initial rate cut have limited predictive power. Valuation is not an effective short-term performance indicator. Predictors of market returns are complex and require consideration of multiple metrics. Long-term market outlook is favorable due to earnings growth, despite fluctuations in sentiment indicators.

Soaring Tankers Rates Double After Russian Sanctions

Supertanker hire costs on key routes to China have doubled since US sanctions on Russia, jolting the global shipping market, with Chinese refiners rushing to buy crude from other sources.

US Earnings: Profit Growth to Trump Europe by Wide Margin

Earnings Growth at US Firms Likely to Outpace Europe

Trump's Inauguration Day Fuels Market Volatility: Stocks Edge Higher, Dollar Weakens

European stocks and US futures climb as Trump's presidency begins, with bitcoin hitting a record high.

Stock Market Today: Asian Shares Gain and Bitcoin Hits Record High Ahead of U.S. Inauguration

Asian shares rose and bitcoin hit a record high on Wednesday amid a largely upbeat mood ahead of the inauguration of U.S. President-elect Joe Biden.