Even a 25% Tariff on China Would Hurt Iconic Retailer Ralph Lauren

In the world of retail, the looming threat of tariffs casts a shadow over the industry. Prominent retailer Ralph Lauren (RL) faces potential challenges if a 25% tariff on Chinese imports becomes a reality.

"It's a pressure point, but we can work through it and manage it," said Patrice Louvet, CEO of Ralph Lauren, at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

Once heavily reliant on China for sourcing, Ralph Lauren has reduced its dependence significantly. However, fully exiting China poses challenges due to the country's expertise in certain product categories.

"China offers unique capabilities in specific areas, particularly in the production of high-quality sweaters and footwear," explained Louvet. "While we explore alternatives, we prioritize a diverse sourcing strategy."

Tariffs could significantly impact apparel companies, as a considerable portion of their merchandise originates from China due to its competitive production costs. Additionally, consumer demand may decline as price hikes become inevitable. The National Retail Federation estimates that Trump's proposed tariffs could reduce Americans' spending power by $46 to $78 billion annually, with an estimated $13.9 to $24 billion increase in apparel costs alone.

"Higher prices for consumers are likely," admitted Louvet.

Despite these concerns, apparel company stocks have remained resilient. Ralph Lauren, VF Corp. (VFC), Skechers (SKX), and Decker's Outdoor (DECK) have experienced notable gains in recent months.

"Our focus remains on delivering an exceptional customer experience, not on tariffs," emphasized Louvet.

As the Trump presidency unfolds, retailers like Ralph Lauren navigate the complexities of geopolitical uncertainties and the potential impact of trade policies.