War-Torn Countries and US Allies at Risk with USAID Decommissioning

Countries ravaged by war, burdened by debt, and allied with the United States face significant vulnerabilities if the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) is disbanded.

Ukraine

As the largest recipient of USAID funding since 2022, Ukraine's economy is heavily reliant on the agency's support. Despite a reduction in funding from $16.6 billion in 2023 to $5.8 billion in 2024, USAID's assistance still constitutes over 3% of Ukraine's GDP, supporting vital sectors such as education and energy. While analysts acknowledge the impact of the cuts, they also note that the US has reallocated funding to frozen Russian assets, mitigating the immediate financial blow.

Jordan

Jordan's reliance on USAID funding is equally significant, accounting for over 2% of GDP in 2024. The loss of $1.2 billion in assistance poses a major concern, particularly in light of Trump's pressure on the nation to accept Palestinians displaced by his Gaza Strip plan. Economists warn that the funding uncertainty could have "uncomfortable" implications for Jordan.

Syria

Emerging from a devastating 13-year civil war, Syria remains heavily dependent on USAID's assistance. In 2024, the agency provided over 2% of Syria's GDP, supporting humanitarian efforts in a war-ravaged economy. The loss of this funding could exacerbate the country's challenges, given its limited reserves and fractured infrastructure.

Zambia

Having recently completed a debt restructuring, Zambia faces additional vulnerabilities due to a severe drought. USAID disbursements account for nearly 7% of government revenues, making the country one of the most exposed to USAID cuts.

Kenya

Despite USAID funding constituting only 0.5% of Kenya's GDP, the country's high debt burden means that a permanent loss of support would force leaders to prioritize other projects. Kenya's recent struggles with inflation and rising interest rates further emphasize the potential impact of USAID cuts.